Health Forecasting is housed at the Center for Health Advancement at the UCLA Fielding School of Public Health.
Our mission is to provide sound, credible forecasts to support policy decisions that improve population health and reduce health disparities, by using the best available research evidence and microsimulation analysis – read the infosheet
Center for health advancement supplying evidence-based information to improve collective health and reduce,disparities.
Center for Health Advancement Projects:
Health Impact Assessment (HIA)
Health Forecasting
UCLA Health Impact Assessment Clearinghouse
Win-Win Modeling
Health Forecasting News
May 2017
WEBINAR 02/28
Making the Case for Strategic Investments in Mental Health Using Health Forecasts
Have you ever wanted to provide input on how to make data meaningful? Now is your chance! Help us target analyses and design actionable communication pieces for mental health forecasts.
View Presentation Slides
May 2018
JOIN THE UCLA MENTAL HEALTH FORECAST COMMUNITY ACTION GROUP
Hospitals and community groups working together to prevent and manage depression
This action group meets once per quarter to identify innovative strategies to treat depression and help craft means of communicating the impact of interventions to decision-makers and funders. Your feedback can help reduce the burden in LA County! For more info about the Community Action Group read our infosheet
Email Peggy to join: peggyvadillo@g.ucla.edu
May 2017
FORUM 07/24
Co-hosted by UniHealth Foundation and Center for Health Advancement
The forum, “Forecasting Depression: Past, Present, and Future of Mental Health in Los Angeles County”, brought together nonprofit hospitals, community organizations, nonprofits and public agencices working in mental health. Our objective was to learn from their experiences and insight working in the field as we design our simulation model to forecast depression.
View Presentation Slides
To participate in the UCLA Mental Heatlh Forecasting Communty Action Group, email researcher: peggyvadillo@g.ucla.edu
May 2017
WORKSHOP 06/30
Hosted by the Grant Professionals Association at The California Endowment
This workshop is especially designed for nonprofit professionals who serve health or social services sectors. Health Forecasting staff will share tools and resources that can strengthen proposals.
View invitation
May 2017
New Community Health Forecast Reports
Los Angeles County Department
of Public Health Service Planning Areas (SPAs) 1-8
While county numbers are important measures, they open mask health disparities that exist in certains areas of the county. The LA County Department of Public Health use SPAs to develop and provide geographically tailored services. Hospitals and community groups in a SPA can use forecasts to demonstrate need for funding or conduct in-depth analysis of changes in health status.
SPA 1: Antelope Valley
SPA 2: San Fernando Valley
SPA 3: San Gabriel Valley
SPA 4: Metro Los Angeles
SPA 5: West
SPA 6: South
SPA 7: East
SPA 8: South Bay
May 2017
New Community Health Forecast Report
California Community Foundation (CCF)
Are you a community program in South Los Angeles or a CCF grantee? Use the forecasts to strengthen your proposal or progress report with data. Based on CCF zip codes, we created customized health forecasts for the following areas:
Centinela Valley
Priority Area 1
Priority Area 2
May 2017
Community Health Snapshots
Forecast Focus year 2040: How will chronic conditions shift?
The one page series of Community Health Snapshots summarize full-length health forecast reports. These visual communication tools highlight problematic trends and opportunities to improve health. The Snapshots are reader friendly and can be easily printed and distributed to busy elected officials, community groups, and anyone who would like a synoposis of future preventable chronic conditions. Compare and contrast health disparities among different communities, cities, and County of Los Angeles.
View Community Health Snapshots
May 2017
New ‘Aging Population Report’
The ‘Be Well’ Program for Seniors
The national award winning ‘Be Well’ Program is a senior fitness and nutrition education program that started in the City of Inglewood, California. Program participants have improved physical health and mental health outcomes. We forecasted chronic conditions and population growth for seniors age 65 and older in their service area and uncovered some startling results.
View the Report
May 2017
New ‘Aging Population Report’
California Community Foundation-Centinela Valley
As baby-boomers age, the retiree population will grow significantly and health care needs will change. How will the health status of an aging population shift in the next twenty years?
View the Report
May 2017
New report
California Community Foundation-Centinela Valley
California Community Foundation works to strengthen Los Angeles communities through many activities, including health improvement. The report covers the Centinela Valley, a portion of South Los Angeles.
View the Report
May 2016
Workshop 11/09
‘Decision-Support Tools & Opportunities to Improve Childhood Health and Education Outcomes While Reducing Crime’
This workshop, supported by California Community Foundation, will compare juvenile justice and obesity prevention interventions on outcomes such as, high school graduation, crime, obesity, substance abuse and diabetes.
View the Presentation Slides
May 2016
Workshop 11/01
‘Taking Action Using Data-Drive Health Planning Tools’
The workshop, supported by California Community Foundation, will show participants how-to use forecasts to strength grantwriting and demonstrate need for a program or policy. A California Community Foundation grantee will talk about how they’ve used health forecasts to address opportunities and challenges.
View the Presentation Slides
May 2016
New report
Cities of Bellflower and Paramount
Health Forecasts provide city planning departments, councilmembers, and local community groups the opportunity to foresee the future health status of their cities. The forecasts help city staff to anticipate health and population trends in order to plan effective resource allocation.
Health Forecast for Cities of Bellflower and Paramount
May 2016
New report
Los Angeles County Baseline Health Forecast
Read the latest report examining the future health status of Los Angeles County through the year 2040. The report includes preventable chronic conditions, such as heart disease, diabetes, and high blood pressure as well as health behaviors, such as smoking, physical activity, and weight status. Reports are stratified by race/ethnicity and education. Read the report by clicking here:
Los Angeles County Baseline Health Forecast
May 2016
Workshop:
‘Forecasting the Impact of Evidence-based Interventions for Community Benefit Planning’
Researchers presented the results of the Health Forecasting model’s effect on diabetes, smoking, and asthma following implementation of evidence based program for Los Angeles County. Access slides here.
The Health Forecasting Tool:
An Evidence-Based Decision Support Tool
Evidence-based model to support advocacy of public health, research, and programs
